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Quantification of the enhanced effectiveness of NO<sub><i>x</i></sub> control from simultaneous reductions of VOC and NH<sub>3</sub> for reducing air pollution in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China

2018
期刊 Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions
As one common precursor for both PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> pollution, NO<sub><i>x</i></sub> gains great attention because its controls can be beneficial for reducing both PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub>. However, the effectiveness of NO<sub><i>x</i></sub> controls for reducing PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> are largely influenced by the ambient levels of NH<sub>3</sub> and VOC, exhibiting strong nonlinearities characterized as NH<sub>3</sub>-limited/-poor and NO<sub><i>x</i></sub>-/VOC-limited conditions, respectively. Quantification of such nonlinearities is prerequisite to making suitable policy decisions but limitations of existing methods were recognized. In this study, a new method was developed by fitting multiple simulations of a chemical transport model (i.e., Community Multi-scale Air Quality Modeling System (CMAQ)) with a set of polynomial functions (denoted as <q>pf-RSM</q>) to quantify responses of ambient PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> concentrations to changes in precursor emissions. The accuracy of the pf-RSM is carefully examined to meet the criteria of a mean normalized error within 2&amp;thinsp;% and a maximal normalized error within 10&amp;thinsp;% by using forty training samples with marginal processing. An advantage of the pf-RSM method is that the nonlinearity in PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> responses to precursor emission changes can be characterized by quantitative indicators, including (1) peak ratio (denoted as PR) representing VOC-limited or NO<sub><i>x</i></sub>-limited condition, (2) suggested reduction ratio of VOC to NO<sub><i>x</i></sub> (denoted as VNr) to avoid increasing O<sub>3</sub> under VOC-limited condition, (3) flex ratio (denoted as FR) representing NH<sub>3</sub>-poor or NH<sub>3</sub>-rich condition, and (4) enhanced benefits in PM<sub>2.5</sub> reductions from simultaneous reduction of NH<sub>3</sub> with the same reduction rate of NO<sub><i>x</i></sub>. A case study in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region suggested that most urban areas present strong VOC-limited condition with PR from 0.4 to 0.8 in July, implying that the NO<sub><i>x</i></sub> emission reduction rate need be greater than 20&amp;thinsp;%&amp;ndash;60&amp;thinsp;% to pass the transition from VOC-limited to NO<sub><i>x</i></sub>-limited. A simultaneous VOC control (VNr is about 0.5&amp;ndash;1.2) can avoid increasing O<sub>3</sub> during the transition. For PM<sub>2.5</sub>, most urban areas present strong NH<sub>3</sub>-rich condition with PR from 0.75&amp;ndash;0.95, implying the NH<sub>3</sub> is sufficiently abundant to neutralize extra nitric acid produced by an additional 5&amp;thinsp;%&amp;ndash;35&amp;thinsp;% of NO<sub><i>x</i></sub> emissions. Enhanced benefits in PM<sub>2.5</sub> reductions from simultaneous reduction of NH<sub>3</sub> were estimated to be 0.04&amp;ndash;0.15&amp;thinsp;µg&amp;thinsp;m<sup>&amp;minus;3</sup> PM<sub>2.5</sub> per 1&amp;thinsp;% reduction of NH<sub>3</sub> along with NO<sub><i>x</i></sub>, with greater benefits in July when the NH<sub>3</sub>-rich condition is not as strong as in January. Thus, simultaneously reducing NH<sub>3</sub> and VOC emission along with NO<sub><i>x</i></sub> reduction is recommended to assure the control effectiveness of PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub>.